Revolution 21
21 Global Markets and Open Constitutions that humanity needs to turn round by 2010 if exponential downcurves are not to spin out of control
Our 1984 book of Death of Distance projected 2 scenarios for a networked world building on research of entrepreneurs, future historians and system thinkers. 2005-2010 was the most risky period life had known as we collectively understood networks as the greatest concentrate series of paradigm shifts in history making the industrial revolution look like child’s play to resytemise productive and demanding human relations around. Unless global sectors like those listed were governed and transparently mapped to sustain peoples everywhere , humanity would turn on itself and both natural and human terror waves would destabilise the globe at very interconnecting locality/community.
Below we ask for your help in tracking links on how these 21 sectors are spinning goodwill or badwill. We are also delighted to hear of other global markets which you feel need to be included. Much is more interconnected than this listing as a first order indicator shows.
1 National Governance (& peoples economics)
2 City or local governance (& 2 million global village inter-trading)
3 Clean water
4 Clean (photosynthesised) energy
5 Public media
6 Education of leaders and transparency of governance
7 Education of children and charities
8 Healthcare
9 Chemicals in meats and plants; Plastic’s non-degradable chemicals
10 Global Retail
11 Safety/Peace forces & resilience intelligence
12 Law simplified & periodically adaptive
13 Professional Hippocratic oaths
14 Insurance and property
15 Banks with profit models other than indebtedness
16 Long-term pensions/savings industries
17 Computers and telecoms investments in people
18 Bottom of Pyramid Preneurs – connecting digital & historic divides
19 Uniting nations and cultures around 30000 project-humanity initiatives
20 Travel industries
21 Great next-to-be invented open source or abundance market
06 Fortnight1 update of discussions of
clubofcity &
clubofvillageLondon :queen elizabeth end of 2000-2005 report : Is Humanity turning on itself?; the badwill scenario of 2005 from this 1984 timeline of The 2024 Report authored by then Deputy Editor of Economist (and my dad)
http://www.normanmacrae.com/netfuture.html#Anchor-Changin-27687 who would also insist for 30 years now that the main job of entrepreneurial revolution is to find the next peopleseconomics befoire we drown in economics that is only the maths of big power, something that Peter Drucker but also the original founder of The Economist in early 19th C also believed in.
http://therebeleconomist.blogspot.com/ http://entrepreneurialrevolution.blogspot.com/WHERE IS the world number 1 open space on the net for the most urgent open source planting of new industry sectors of which photosynthesis energy and open world service broadcasting are two that need uplifting this year if the 2010 deadline of 6 billion beings is not to be over shot?
I will be surprised but joyous of any of you can tell me of a better space than this one for quarter 1 of 2006
http://www.omidyar.net/group/localglobal/news/DONT MISS HAVING A LOOK AT WHAT MICROFINANCED VIRTUAL COMMUNITY CAN PLAY AT WHEN CHEERLED by founders of ebay
PHILIDELPHIA & London & Gandhi-networks & Cambridge
-----------------------------------------Previously Steve Brant in Phili of the Ackoff, Deming and Buckminster Fuller Schools of system theory understanding of mankind's fina examination wrote. (If anyone was at the first BetheChange, it coincided with the mother of all systems debate which Steve attended in the USA run by Ackoff with people like Meg Wheatley also joining in. I did encourage the leaders of both conferences to share their forward projects though I think most of the links went missing and I did not know that Colin Morley who was my linkup both www.BetheChange.org.uk and joint claborator in the future of the sustainability investment industry was going to have so little time left. This paper which Steve recommended to me on Ackoff's view echoes Einstein's (and so gandhi's) of how ever harder it will be for mankind to transform out of the global system that's chaining us http://www.acasa.upenn.edu/RLAConfPaper.pdf together with Ray Anderson's work, its about the only US school of thinking (as opposed to some schools of practice) worth adding to the world libray of gandhi.edu (sustainability mba that India is losely connecting around the 55 year research project of Cambridge postgraduate economist and Prime Minister Singh - how do we ensure we never let national economics compound an underclass anywhere if you want a networked world to survive)
: Thanks for commenting on my HuffPost blog > I wonder when was the last time organisations got more responsible for the> truth the bigger they got. In a future history I co-authored in 1984 with my> dad (a lead writer at The Economist) for 30 years, we had a very optimistic> and a very pessimistic scenario of what a globally networked world would> compound (similar I guess to Fuller's Final Exam Logic). We argued if goodwill> was to prevail that by 2010 we needed to see how the networking world (and a> new peoples economics) was mapping transparently around 2 million global> villages. One of the great congresses for making that happen is being hosted> in Delhi next year to mark a centenary of Gandhi, one of whose core studies> was how to support truth-testing communally. Hope to see some of you there :> http://clubofvillage.blogspot.com/ & 30 years of future history scripting> debates at http://entrepreneurialrevolution.blogspot.com/> > chris macrae wcbn007@easynet.co.uk
Great comment, Chris! Thanks! I particularly appreciate the connectionsyou made to Bucky and Gandhi's work. The centenary of Gandhi...sounds likean important place to be!
Japan & Australia
my friend in Japan is Modjtaba Sadria (hattori) who is the only person & cross-cultural researcher I know who is fluent in Cinese, Japanese, English, Iranian and French; he is also close to paul Komesaroff at http://www.globalreconciliationnetwork.org/ the meta-network (losely linking 4 nobel peace laureates, 200 NGos and experience-practical people) that does more than any other medical or yout connecting one to recocile conflicts and pick up communities after devastating disasters. Modjtaba also has a fascinating dialogue on learning slavery - the means by which national governments now only sponsor economics or other socila research into the power of the big at most academia since many politicians are look to retire into sinecures with big business. Ask my dad: when was the last democracy governemt that sought to faciliate what the people wanted not power over them- answer none in his lifetime with the exception of Germany & Japan after losing World war 2- oh what a lovely system of globalsiation we will exponetially compound unless the people networks unite openly and quicklyhttp://exponentials.blogspot.com/
Chris Macrae wcbn007@easynet.co.ukhttp://clubofvillage.blogspot.com/ http://clubofdelhi.blogspot.com/ http://clubofchina.blogspot.com/
Entrepreneurial Revolution debating circles clarify:
. So far we have tracked 5 major preneurial waves of historically missing culturally enrichening economics, and in interconnecting them we have discovered 3 primary dimensions against which corporate (or any) 21st Century peoples trust-flow governance system can be graded
3 Sustainability Exponential – does this governance system sustain (exponentially compound up) the best interests of all who it involves through time in deepest relationship commitments of both productive and demanding kinds.
2 Is this governance system concerned to ensure no silo or boundary cancers wherever it interacts with resources of global business partners or local societies. This transparency mapping dynamic is the most innovative (and so also at highest risk of corrupting simultaneous conflict) system quality emerging from networks and value multiplying which is truly global and local.
1 At any molecular level of productive and demanding life linking through time to the governance system, are healthy value exchange molecules maintained by auditing risk of conflicts emerging from win-win tensions all around the way people visualise productive and demanding relationships as they serve each other through hi-trust actions, learning and change stimulated by preserving the integration of value-multiplying purpose
Currently we see two main ways to play this new network-fit economics around every vital locality of the world.
A If you have access to a governance system because you are co-creating it, investing in it, applying for a job that participates systemically with it – then we can help you map and audit the simplest ways of evolving governance which is hi-trust (and very risky unless) all involved network around value multiplication’s compound exponentials (representable as future upcurves or downcurves that can already be assessed and around which true strategy needs to be tailored)
B Issue traffic light gradings to associations or forums that debate or offer forms of corporate governance as to how close their mathematics and system rules are to being best at 1*2*3 we will be training people to do this at country city and global village levels through co-blog learning modules contextualise locally through our blogspot families catalogued at ClubofCountry (where India and China need this collaborative exponential maths very urgently) and ClubofCity and ClubofVillage (where we continue to work on connecting http://project30000.blogspot.com and 2 million global villages of 2 types – those in greatest need, those lurking in big cities that could twin with greatest need and wave extraordinary win-wins of value multiplication over a generation http://value100.blogspot.com ). We can often provide a checklist of a handful of questions which enable grading of governance systems that wholly miss any of the 3 dimensions to be done very quickly. We will demonstrate this aspect of Unseen Wealth reformation at http://intangibles-valuation.blogspot.com
Preneurial Revolution – 30 year review by chris macrae, wcbn007@easynet.co.ukto celebrate the 30th anniversary of my father's survey of ER in The Economist (1976) we're looking to open source or re-edit this at any community or network which wants to debate its future consequences
What can we learn first from 30 years of exploring sightings of
Entrepreneurial Revolution (ER) cases since my father’s 1976 survey in The Economist?
Happy & Prosperous New Year to You AllTransparency Communities' Vision: 21st Century's Mapsto boldly see futures of all peoples, & networks, united by trust*money's flows, beyond national histories...
Mapping tensions in every organisational relationship system - between productivities and demands - through time is critical to : valuation, economics, governance, society, if an upward economics
exponential is to compound through time, and so truly and fairly sustain everyone’s energies in service economies or learning networks. The value multiplication relationship dynamics of this molecule may look complex, but if hi-trust flows,
ER can be as simple as
ABC
A Always start the gravitation of the system around understanding deepest customers to whom the value revolution will be critical. Their belief in your offer will ultimately do the marketing in a way that your organisation controls the stage and does not get hijacked by spiralling costs of someone else’s medium. Understand the reason why your revolution will be critical. In the 21st Century's trueet knowledge markets, you will be enabling customers to multiply their own value. In other types of market, you may be saving customers lives but they will not know how to use the product immediately –perhaps a series of inventions will need to come together, or professionals and their service channels will need retraining, or there may be other reasons (eg georgraphical, cultural or infrastructure ones) why the market isn’t immediately ready, and timing (r)evolution will be critical. Indeed, sustainability of the biggest innovations for customers often involve conflict resolution on many sides. Can you find investors who will be up for the long ride, and will you deliver then 100 fold return the way generation-long Entrepreneurial Revolutions are now proven to do? Maybe, the gravity of conflicts will be aggravated by some powerful lobby which is profiting immensely from the old ways of doing something even as every other human group is losing more and more from being historically perfect.
B The next vital coordinate is societal demands. Unless it will be possible to work with the deep customer and the breakthrough value demanding need to understand the biggest future meaning that the revolutionised sector will sustain with societies, we will at best be designing a system that bubbles up and down. Over the last 30 years, perhaps the majority of so-called preneurial citations have been bubbles, with in some cases day one's investment advisers talking about the exit strategy with more gusto than establishing whether a real customer need was ever going to sustainably be . We cannot stop this hijacking of our language or of leadership valuation, but we do warn anyone reading this that over time such planning or behaviour leads to worse for the world economics rather than the best human beings can do. Many people’s energies, let alone monetary investments are going to be abused as soon as transparency starts to be lost. And it will al;ways be society and locality of communities that eventually pick up the cost - after a value destroying system has compounded far greater loss than ever flowed even to those who gained. This is where every preneurial design needs to be openly appraised by the
future exponentials, it is being conceived, mapped and systemised around. We cannot think of a bubble, particularly those that stretched over many years, where somewhere the compounding costs and risks were externalised in a deadly way onto a society, often an innocent and poor one far removed from the locality that sponsored the bubble. Bubbles corrupt. As they turn vicious, they chain -even enslave - people and communities in all sorts of fears and falsities; and those who had put their greatest work into an inspiration they had been led to believe would make a difference, become most abused –their pay goes, their career has been sidetracked, the stress of their family and friends will be depressing if not abusive, they may never get back to the learning curve they most merited being on. On our maps, we believe that goodwill has been clearly communicated by
Bill Clinton's born again vision: "In my lifetime now, I am obsessed with 2 things: I do not want anybody to die before their time. And I do not want to see good people spend their energies without making a difference...you can change the reality of human history with systemic action" Transparency mapmaking seeks to explore the way that every being's natural human resource - the lifetime - is being invested. In effect, bubbles are about insider knowledge, over-promising and under-delivering. They give both economics and entrepreneurs a bad name. They do not lead to productive freedoms and happiness sustaining demands
It’s even more important to go beyond criticism to understand what successful preneurial revolutions can do. 30 years gives us enough time to do economic analysis on what preneurs can sustain through the future history of a generation. The answer, which we now have dozen of cases to guide people round, may surprise you : 100 fold return on investment but only when the societal returns are 1000 fold. Over a generation, the two are economically coupled. For example, 100-fold returns usually becomes a world class brand because it is known and relentlessly trusted for having multiplied that much goodwill. However the value100 brand architecture do not spend billions of dollars on annual advertising budgets as so many of the world’s biggest corporation brands do. Why should compounding goodwill to the greatest of every human being’s focal capabilities need that? At every step of a value100 brand’s intangibles valuation evolution it was core to society’s developing story too.
C This is where management and investors come in to integrate value multiplication but not in the standard (non-contextual) way that academic theorists or professional advisers are prone to lobby for. The magic of true preneurialism is always about the investment architecture that sustains a system which let’s some huge creative force flourish and flow whilst knowing that creative forces are so passionate about how the idea will change the world that they will need to be facilitated iteratively through conflicts which may be with timing, money, the previous organisational system and whether any co-workers want to make a difference when the old system is currently offering all the rewards and none of the risks. At this stage, ugly as it may be in literary terms it will be much clearer for future debating networks if we identify various preneurial labels. First we can also summarise mathematically what we have productivities & demands we have multiplied so far:
A) V2
B) V2*V5
C) K3*V3 (* select one of K1, K2, K4, K5) *V2*V5
C1 Usually entrepreneurs revolve the system spirals around a classical breakthrough invention (a new thing) but not a service economy, ie the source of innovation to be multiplicatively flowed is coordinated round K1
C2 Usually, intrapreneurs invent a team-based design or project franchised that once perfected in one place has the value multipliers of every place a team could locally serve it, ie unleash K2
C3 Tomorrow, there will be all sorts of other networking preneurs given sustainability challenges around the world – do we want to develop any organisations that value life even if the profitable economies come after changing corruptions of nature or of community that have happened where a big power’s influence has decimated diversity and grassroots infrastructures. Preneurialism needs to flow through governments, NGOs (Non Governmental Organisations) and charities but in ways that again starts with the gravity that the “customer” and the societal deep vision can bring. If this paragraph sounds like a dream rather than a preneurial reality then I would suggest you look at the microfinance movement that has relaunched more sustainable economies in the developing world than large finance, as well as map back what will happen to future generations if any global sector’s exponential is permitted to go into exponential destruction. Eight years after writing entrepreneurial revolution, my father’s 1984 book forecast that this crisis of globalisation would need to be reconciled by the majority of the people of the world getting up, using media in the most humanly preneurial ways seen for a century (which is what networks can be), and revolutionising other stuff that values everyone’s life as well as money. Have a look at the timeline summary here. http://www.normanmacrae.com/netfuture.html
For those with the hardest noses on this subject, all the rest of us will transparently need to change risk analysis (eg Intangibles Crisis Union networkers ask why one of the 5 biggest Gloibal Accountants Arthur Andersen did not know that value multiplies when their leaders operated undee the assumption that zero value to society and billions of value to business stakeholders would lead to billions+0=billions instead of the reality of billion*0=0). Ordinary people everywhere need to link together and cheer every news-story of deep democracy of governance discovered anywhere on our globe- until the hard-nosers see that they are in an extreme minority –the terrorising bottom line - wherever they are arguing that 6 billion being people want to profit now and end the sustainability of the generation after next. This endgame has not been the compound valuation dynamics that the human species has ever wanted before, so we doubt it’s what humanity feels it needs today. But how many people know that is the number 1 globalisation question being asked unless public broadcasters and journalists for humanity will help us explore it everywhere, and now!
System debates of the 30 year learning curve of preneurial revolution will continue through co-edited blogs listed below. We aim to offer you the opportunity to co-create buckets full of examples of C1, C2, C3. But as we mentioned deeply human communal contexts and worldwide industry sectors matter. If your life’s work is about what a particular sector’s best for the world exponentials could be, why not mail me at wcbn007@easynet.co.uk. I am trying to play a worldwide game of snap with people whop are passionate about the same sector. I can tell you if I know anyone who matches your exploration, and offer should you wish an email introduction.
Chris Macrae, mailto:wcbn007@easynet.co.uk?subject=ER
Further references:
http://entrepreneurialrevolution.blogspot.com – what we have been trying to connect studies of at every worldwide locality since 1976
http://deathofdistance.blogspot.com – the network revolution to every innovation we have been trying to storytell in future history groups since 1984
http://normanmacrae.blogspot.com where the long “sustainability investment” valuation view of what people are worth came from in the minds of Norman Macrae and Peter Drucker
http://therebeleconomist.blogspot.com –one example from http://value100.blogspot.com of 100 fold shareholder return coupled with 1000 fold societal return
http://exponentials.blogspot.com -any human relationship system’s future exponential worth is largely measurable today by auditing how conflicted it is with the greatest human purpose it was founded around or led through; in a networked world the transparency of system*system exponentials at such boundaries of global*local requires a revolution of 20th C economics especially at its externalities. Otherwise every measurement made of people will corrupt them and spiral ever lower trust in truth and sustainable purpose. It is this controversy that 6 billion people need to debate through global village www.habitatjam.com , and any other interactive media experiments – see –if globalisation of power is not to spin terrifyingly out of people’s control from about 2010 on (the core scenario of our 1984 death of distance meta-story)
http://valuesystem.blogspot.com – systemic understanding of wholes has not been very well taught in the 20th C at any age group from 8 up though it needs to be if nature’s systems like clean water and human life support exponentials are to be truly valued in the peoples economics of 1 21st networking century. Like the number 1 learning quality of our species, systemic understanding never separates cooperation from competition through time. As far as we can see, it is the only way to map abundant economics (going above zero-sum) of such network-revolutionary dynamics as human learning and love of diversity of cultures that can multiply everywhere in hi-trust use, unlike thing products that can only ever get consumed up. This is why Norman Macrae & Peter Drucker used to argue that the post-industrial revolution presents serial challenges on a scale (globalisation) without precedence in human history. The most exciting but critical time in human evolution to date.